Friday, May 29, 2015

MANUEL V. Pangilinan-led Metro Pacific Investments Corp. (MPIC) is set to bag the 45.5-kilometer Cavite-Laguna Expressway (Calax) deal after submitting a surprise aggressive offer in a rebidding exercise for the public-private partnership (PPP) project that edged out rival San Miguel Corp.

Bidding results at the Department of Public Works and Highways showed that Metro Pacific’s MPCALA Holdings offered a premium payment of P27.3 billion— against San Miguel Holdings Corp.’s offer of P22.2 billion— for the right to build and operate Calax for a period of 30 years.

The premium amount, to be paid on a staggered basis, comes on top of the tollroad’s P35.4-billion construction cost.

It was also more than double the P11.33 billion that MPIC, which controls the country’s biggest electricity retailer and its largest chain of private hospitals, offered in last year’s auction for the same project.

Ramoncito Fernandez, president of tollroad arm Metro Pacific Tollways Corp., said MPIC had more time to consider new indicators on the pace of development in Cavite and Laguna, car sales as well as the lower cost of commodities.

“We are very happy with this development. We always wanted to have a major toll road in the south,” Metro Pacific president Jose Ma. K. Lim said during the same event Tuesday.
MPIC already operates the 14-km Cavite Manila Expressway in southern Metro Manila apart from North Luzon Expressway and Subic-Clark-Tarlac Expressway (SCTEx) north of the capital.

The bidding result also implied a massive windfall for the government and underscored the intense competition for assets being bid out under the flagship PPP program of the Aquino administration.

“It’s worth the wait. The results say everything went perfectly all right for the government and for the country,” Rafael Yabut, chair of the DPWH bids and awards committee, said in an interview.

The initial round had failed after President Aquino ordered a rebid late last year after San Miguel sought Malacañang’s intervention following its disqualification over a typographical error on the date of its bid bond.

San Miguel had offered P20.1 billion last year—the basis of a floor price that the DPWH had included in the current rebid exercise. The tandem between Ayala Corp. and a unit of Aboitiz Equity Ventures Inc.—last year’s frontrunner with an offer of P11.66 billion—did not participate in the current auction while the MTD Group of Malaysia also did not participate again.

The DPWH expects the Calax project to be awarded by next month. It is expected to be fully completed by 2020, PPP Center executive director Cosette Canilao said.

The Calax will be four-lane expressway that will also connect Cavitex and the South Luzon Expressway (SLEx) of San Miguel.

Source: http://business.inquirer.net/

Friday, May 22, 2015

Now you can check for yourself whether your house, or planned house, lies along or near an active earthquake fault line in Metro Manila.

The Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (Phivolcs) has made public updated and detailed maps that trace the 100-kilometer West Valley Fault traversing parts of Metro Manila and the adjoining provinces of Bulacan, Laguna, Rizal and Cavite.

This active fault line system has the potential of generating up to a 7.2-magnitude earthquake that can devastate the capital and nearby provinces.

The product of two years of work by a small team of Phivolcs geologists, the 120-page book titled “Valley Fault System in Greater Metro Manila Areas Atlas” has a total of 33 maps for the 19 cities and municipalities transected by the fault line.

Phivolcs produced 22 map sheets for Metro Manila on a 1:5,000 map scale, 10 map sheets for Laguna and Cavite on a 1:10,000 scale and one map sheet for Bulacan and Rizal on a 1:50,000 scale.

The scale refers to the ratio between the distance on a map and the corresponding distance on the ground. On a 1:5,000 map scale, 1 centimeter on the map equals 50 meters on the ground.

Phivolcs Director Renato Solidum Jr. said the agency updated the maps of the fault line because the last maps it issued for Metro Manila in 2000 provided only a bird’s eye view, with a 1:10,000 map scale, that most people found it hard to locate their homes relative to the fault line.

The new maps for Metro Manila have a 1:5,000 scale so they show the subdivisions and roads relative to the fault line and fissures.

“You can actually see the streets,” Solidum said during the official book launch on Monday.
Due to limited production, copies of the atlas would be given to affected local government units (LGUs) and state agencies but Solidum said the public can download the maps from their website www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph.

“You can use this if you want to know if you are near a fault. It’s good to have this data out to the public to let them know about (earthquake risks),” he said.

New fault traces

He said the new survey discovered new fault traces aside from those previously mapped.
Since there is no early warning when or where an earthquake occurs, Phivolcs has been calling for public preparedness through earthquake drills and contingency plans and checking the structural integrity of homes and buildings.

In the 2013 bulletin, Solidum said the projected risk analysis for a 7.2-magnitude earthquake in Metro Manila and five Rizal provinces was 37,000 fatalities, 140,000 serious injuries and total economic loss of P2.5 trillion with 11 million square meters of floor area severely damaged.

A total of 8,200 people were killed in Nepal in a 7.8-magnitude earthquake on April 25 and a 7.3-magnitude on April 16, according to wire service reports.

Phivolcs geologists literally walked the danger zone to validate the fault traces, which could be as narrow as less than a foot wide to up to several feet wide.

However, the maps for Laguna, Cavite, Bulacan and Rizal were still of the bird’s eye view kind since the National Mapping and Resource Information Authority did not have detailed base maps for them.

As expected, Solidum said many areas along the fault line had already been settled.

Danger markers

He said it was the task of LGUs to inform the affected residents and not allow further property development in places at risk.

Phivolcs recommended that the area at least five meters from either side of the fault line should be cleared of any development.

But of the 19 concerned LGUs, only Quezon City, Pasig City and Makati City have coordinated with Phivolcs to put markers or signs along the fault line.
“We encourage local government units to put the markers,” Solidum said, adding it was not Phivolcs’ job to put these up.

“It’s very important for LGUs to make sure houses and buildings are not located on active faults,” he said.

He said the geologists found no major commercial sites, no high-rise buildings and condominiums or hospitals sitting on the fault line.
Parts of the South Luzon Expressway show fissures but the highway does not run along a fault line, he said.

Permits for developers

Fewer than 10 schools have been informed that they are in the danger zone, Solidum said.
“We told them they can use the buildings but they should not let their students use them. It’s up to DepEd (Department of Education) to check whether that’s followed,” he said.

Antonio Bernardo, chief executive officer of the Housing and Land Use Regulatory Board, said the agency did not give permit to housing developers unless their project sites had been certified by Phivolcs to be far from the fault line.

But Solidum said Phivolcs could only check on the planned housing or business site if their developers apply for clearance. “If they don’t ask, we won’t be able to know about it,” he said.

“There should be someone (from the local government office) closely monitoring the actual construction,” he added.

The 100-km West Valley Fault traverses 18 cities and municipalities: Quezon City, Marikina City, Makati City, Pasig City, Taguig City and Muntinlupa City; Doña Remedios Trinidad and Norzagaray and San Jose Del Monte City in Bulacan; Rodriguez municipality in Rizal; San Pedro City, Biñan City, Sta. Rosa City, Cabuyao City and Calamba City in Laguna; and Carmona, General Mariano Alvarez and Silang in Cavite.

The other segment of the Valley Fault System, the 10-kilometer East Valley Fault which can generate up to a 6.2-magnitude earthquake traverses Rodriguez and San Mateo in Rizal.
Phivolcs said in the last 1,400 years, the West Valley Fault had moved on an interval of every 400 to 600 years. The last earthquake in the area occurred in 1658, or 357 years ago.

Strongest earthquakes in PH recorded history

Name of earthquake———-Date  Magnitude
Panay Island —————Jan. 24, 1948     8.3
Southeast Mindanao———–April 14, 1924    8.3
Moro Gulf ———————–Aug. 15, 1918     8.1
Moro Gulf ——————–Aug. 17, 1976     7.9
Luzon Earthquake —————- July 16, 1990     7.9
Casiguran Earthquake ————Aug. 2, 1968      7.3
Bohol Earthquake—————–Oct. 15, 2013     7.2

Source: www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph
             http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/

Thursday, May 21, 2015

FAULT-RIDDEN. Active faults (red lines) cut through a part of Pasig City occupied by subdivisions Valle Verde 5 and 6. Image from Phivolcs' Valley Fault System Atlas

MANILA, Philippines – Maps recently released by the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (Phivolcs) allow people to see the location of the West Valley Fault and East Valley Fault in Greater Metro Manila.

The question now is: do you live on an active fault?

Rappler compiled a list of subdivisions or residential villages that appear to have active faults.

At the end of this article, there is also a compilation of screengrabs from the Phivolcs maps showing where the faults are in those subdivisions.

The list only includes places where houses appear to have been built on top of an active fault or where, based on the subdivision's structure, houses are likely to be built on top of the fault.

Affected subdivisions are diverse: from enclaves of the rich like Loyola Grand Villas in Quezon City, to the depressed Maharlika Village in Taguig.

Rappler found that 57 subdivisions or residential villages are transected by the West Valley Fault, a 100-kilometer active fault that can generate a 7.2-magnitude earthquake. (INFOGRAPHIC: How powerful is a magnitude 7.2 earthquake)

Only one subdivision, Gloria Vista Subdivision in Rizal province, is transected by the shorter East Valley Fault which can generate a 6.5-magnitude earthquake.

But we encourage you to take a look at the Valley Fault System Atlas yourself in case we missed something.

According to studies, residential buildings will suffer the most damage during a 7.2-magnitude earthquake because many of them do not follow building standards. Phivolcs Director Renato Solidum Jr said that at least 40% of all residential buildings in Metro Manila would either be heavily or partially damaged.

Subdivisions or villages with the West Valley Fault:

Rizal (Rodriguez)

Amity Ville
Christine Ville
Marikina

Loyola Garden Village
Loyola Subdivision
Monte Vista Village
Industrial Valley Subdivision
Cinco Hermanos Subdivision
Wood Crest Subdivision
Quezon City

Sunnyside Heights Subdivision
Doña Anna Village
Fil-Heights
Filinvest Homes II and Villa Amor Uno
Northview Subd
Loyola Grand Villas
White Plains Subdivision
Queensville Court
Greenmeadows
Blue Ridge B
Pasig

Valle Verde 6
Valle Verde 5
Valle Verde
Valle Verde 3
Valle Verde 1
Kawilihan Village
Makati

East Rembo
Pembo
Rizal
Taguig

Pinagsama
Pinagsama Phase II
Pan-Am Village
North Signal Village
Central Signal Village
South Signal Village
Maharlika Village
Camp Bagong Diwa
Parañaque

Posadas Village
Muntinlupa

Solid Mills Village
Embassy Village
Liberty Homes
Carmina Compounds
L&B Subdivision and Compound
UP Side Subdivision
Country Homes Alabang
Planas Ville
Camella Homes Alabang 3
Country Homes Subd and Jose Marey Subdivision
Camella Homes
Susana Heights Village 1
Susana Heights Subd Phase I
St Anne Homes
Real Ville Subdivision
Laguna

Adelina 1A Subdivision
GSIS Village
Elnor Homes
Sampaguita Village
United San Pedro Subdivision
Cavite

Wedgewoods Subdivision
Next steps

What do you do if your house looks like it's near a fault?

Don't panic.

According to Phivolcs, you'll only need to consider moving out if your home is right on top of the fault or within 5 meters of it.

This is because your house may be at risk when the ground shifts beneath it during an earthquake.

Even if your home is outside the 5-meter bufferzone, it will still be subject to intense shaking during a 7.2-magnitude earthquake. You need to make sure it was built properly. (See groundshaking simulation map on this story: What dangers await when the West Valley Fault moves?)

You can consult a structural engineer to check if the building strictly follows the National Building Code of the Philippines.

Your local government also has building officials responsible for checking if structures in your city or province follow safety standards. But in many cases, these inspectors are handling too much work to look into each building.

If your house is made from concrete hollow blocks, you can do the checking yourself using Phivolcs' checklist for earthquake-ready houses.

Looking to buy a house far from any active fault?

The Housing and Land Use Regulatory Board (HLURB) says they now require subdivision developers to get certification from Phivolcs to prove their project is far from a fault.

To be sure, you can ask the developers to show a copy of the certificate.

What do you do if your subdivision, city or province isn't in the list? Don't be complacent.

A 7.2-magnitude earthquake will be so strong it will likely be felt even in cities without the West Valley Fault.

The Manila Cathedral in Manila, for instance, has been damaged many times by earthquakes generated by the fault.

Have your homes checked for safe building standards, don't take earthquake drills for granted, and always be ready for any scenario.
Source: Excerpts from Rappler.com

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